Dylan Cease's performance this season has not met expectations, affecting his upcoming free agency. Once projected for a $200 million contract, he is now anticipated to sign for around $100 million, with the Carlos Rodón deal serving as a potential model. Despite disappointing metrics, Cease maintains strong strikeout capabilities with 169 strikeouts in 129.1 innings, indicating he may still command interest. The extent of teams' needs for starting pitchers this offseason will be crucial in determining Cease's final contract value.
A $200 million contract might have been a possibility for Cease once, but he's probably looking at something in the $100 million range now.
If he can walk away with $162 million, and Scott Boras is the best in the world for a reason, it'd be a great job from the top agent in Major League Baseball.
Cease hasn't been as bad as his base numbers look. His ERA isn't great, and there are other factors, but he's still showing above-average stuff.
It'll likely come down to how desperate teams are for starting pitching during the offseason, which should play in his favor.
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