
"While mainstream college basketball coverage centers on this season's powerhouses like Arizona and Michigan, seasoned bettors know that brand recognition doesn't always equal ATS value. In fact, the market's "Blue Blood" bias often creates more opportunities with smaller programs. As we examine the top NCAAB ATS performers this season, the leaderboard includes several unexpected teams consistently outperforming oddsmakers' expectations. Best 2025-26 NCAAB ATS Records"
"As the data shows, the most profitable ATS records aren't found on the jerseys sold at the mall. There's a reason for this, as oddsmakers pour the bulk of their resources into sharpening the lines for marquee matchups and Power 4 programs. Between that surgical precision and a grueling schedule of elite competition, the "big dogs" rarely offer much value. If you're looking for an edge, stop focusing solely on the nationally televised games and start looking toward the mid-major fringes, where the"
Smaller and mid-major college basketball programs frequently outperform betting lines against the spread, providing value to bettors. Oddsmakers concentrate resources on marquee matchups and Power Four programs, resulting in sharper lines for high-profile teams. Tough schedules and market attention reduce ATS value for top-ranked programs. Numerous mid-major teams show elite ATS records, such as Stephen F. Austin (18-5), Eastern Michigan (18-6), Mercer (17-6), Fresno State (16-7), and others. Underdogs and fringe programs often present exploitable market inefficiencies. Shifting focus away from nationally televised games toward mid-major matchups can yield a betting edge.
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