"Two pieces dropped on Wednesday morning that give us two unique perspectives on the current state of the Blackhawks' rebuild. One comes from outside Chicago, an analytically-driven assessment that compares the Blackhawks' projection for the future (the next seven years in this case) to other organizations in a similar situation. The other is a conversation with Blackhawks general manager Kyle Davidson about how he views the trajectory of the franchise. Because the two speak to similar ideas - and we're always discussing the timeline for the Blackhawks to compete - it felt like a good time and place to consider these two perspectives together."
"We aren't ranking the rosters right now. Some teams are relatively early in their rebuilds. Others have been floundering for a decade or longer. For example, both the standings and eye test tell us that Detroit is a better team than San Jose today. But Detroit should be, given the head start. The rebuilds will be ranked on how likely each franchise is to win a Stanley Cup in the next seven seasons. After all, that should be every general manager's goal: construct a high-end roster that delivers a strong Cup contention window."
Analytical rankings place the Blackhawks third among 12 NHL rebuilds for likelihood of winning a Stanley Cup between 2027 and 2033. Evaluations prioritize projection-based Cup probability over current roster strength and account for rebuild timelines and draft capital. Current team metrics remain weak, with Chicago near the bottom in most 5-on-5 measures. A surge of high-end prospects, including Connor Bedard, significantly improves the franchise's long-term outlook and creates a plausible contention window. Management under Kyle Davidson emphasizes measurable progress, checklist-driven roster construction, and deliberate steps to enter a sustained Cup contention period. Comparisons note that teams with earlier rebuild starts may look stronger now but projection models focus on future windows.
Read at Bleacher Nation
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