
"The Lightning have gone 30-16 when favored on the moneyline this season. Tampa Bay has gone 23-10 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -141 or shorter (69.7% win percentage). The Lightning have an implied moneyline win probability of 58.5% in this matchup."
"This season the Wild have been an underdog 25 times, and won 15, or 60.0%, of those games. Minnesota is 6-3 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +118 or more on the moneyline. Oddsmakers have implied, given the moneyline set for this matchup, that the Wild have a 45.9% chance to win."
"We predict the Wild (+118 on the moneyline) to emerge victorious against the Lightning (-141 on the moneyline). As for the over/under, we pick the under at 6 goals."
The Tampa Bay Lightning face the Minnesota Wild on Tuesday at 9:30 p.m. ET with Tampa Bay as solid favorites at -141 odds. The Lightning have performed well when favored this season, going 30-16 on the moneyline and 23-10 specifically at -141 or shorter odds. Minnesota enters as an underdog at +118 but has won 60% of their underdog games this season, including 6-3 records at +118 or greater. The Lightning have injury concerns with Max Crozier and Nicholas Paul out, while Minnesota is without Marcus Foligno and Jonas Brodin. Predictions favor Minnesota to upset Tampa Bay with the total staying under 6 goals.
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