Atlanta Dream play Dallas Wings on May 22, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET. The Wings are selected to cover the +5.5 spread based on last season’s against-the-spread performance, including 19 covers in 44 games and results as underdogs of at least 5.5 points. The over/under at 172.5 is treated as a toss-up because combined scoring frequently fell near or below that number, with last season’s average combined points and totals allowed both below the current line. The Dream are backed on the moneyline at -228, supported by a strong win rate as moneyline favorites and an implied win probability of 69.5%.
"Pick the Wings (+5.5) to Cover The Dream's record against the spread last season was 30-17-0. The Wings beat the spread 19 times in 44 games last season. The Dream's ATS record as 5.5-point favorites or greater was 16-7 last year. Against the spread, as underdogs of 5.5 points or more, the Wings went 16-13 last year."
"Over/Under is a Toss Up (172.5) Dream games last season featured more combined points than this contest's total of 172.5 points 12 times. The Wings combined with their opponent to score more than 172.5 points in 19 of 44 games last season. The teams combined to score 166.1 points per contest last season, 6.4 fewer points than this game's over/under. Combined, these teams allowed 164.8 points per contest last year, 7.7 fewer points than the over/under for this game."
"Back the Dream on the Moneyline (-228) The Dream won 71% of the games last season they were the moneyline favorite (22-9). The Wings were underdogs in 36 games last season and won seven (19.4%) of those contests. The Dream had a 17-5 record last year (winning 77.3% of their games) when they played as a moneyline favorite of -228 or shorter. The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Dream a 69.5% chance to win."
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