"The Canadiens have won 16 of their 32 games when favored on the moneyline this season (50.0%). In games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -111 or shorter, Montreal has a 16-16 record (winning 50.0% of its games)."
"The Red Wings have been an underdog in 36 games this season, and won 19 (52.8%). Detroit is 19-17 this season when entering a game as the underdog by -109 or more on the moneyline."
"We expect the Red Wings (-109 on the moneyline) to emerge victorious against the Canadiens (-111 on the moneyline). Moving to the total, we recommend betting on the over at 6 goals."
The Canadiens and Red Wings meet Thursday at Little Caesars Arena with nearly identical moneyline odds. Montreal has won 50% of games when favored this season, while Detroit has won 52.8% of underdog matchups. The implied probabilities show the Canadiens at 52.6% and Red Wings at 52.2% to win. Montreal's games have exceeded the 6-goal total 47 times this season, while Detroit's have surpassed it 38 times. Both teams face significant injuries: Montreal is without Patrik Laine and Kirby Dach, while Detroit is missing Andrew Copp, Dylan Larkin, and Michael Rasmussen. Predictions favor Detroit to win with an over bet on the total.
Read at Bleacher Nation
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