A retirement before year's end means California Gov. Gavin Newsom must decide whether to call for a special election to fill the House seat vacated by McCarthy, R-Bakersfield. It comes down to exactly when McCarthy vacates his seat, according to California law.
"I don't know who the candidates might be, but based on 2020 presidential numbers, it is the most Republican district in the state," said Kyle Kondik, managing editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball, which analyzes elections. "Donald Trump won it by 25 points - it is too red of a district for Democrats to seriously contest it."
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