"Based on long-range forecasts and the possibility of a La Nina year, the State Water Project is planning for a dry 2025 punctuated by extreme storms like we've seen in late November," said DWR Director Karla Nemeth. "We need to prepare for any scenario, and this early in the season we need to take a conservative approach to managing our water supply."
According to Nemeth, record-breaking summer heat and scorching October temperatures led to this conservative estimation. However, the initial December forecast did not take into account any of the storms that brought heavy wind and rain to the region in late November, meaning water allocations could rise in the coming months.
Historically, data from 1996 to 2025 shows that water allocations have become tighter over the past 15 years, only starting to drop to 5% in 2010. Previously, allocations often hovered between 15% and 75%.
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