California sets initial State Water Project allocation at 5% following hot, dry stretch
Briefly

We need to prepare for any scenario, and this early in the season we need to take a conservative approach to managing our water supply,
Based on long-range forecasts and the possibility of a La Niña year, the State Water Project is planning for a dry 2025 punctuated by extreme storms like we've seen in late November.
When soils are too dry, runoff from the mountain snowpack will typically be soaked up by the ground, reducing the amount of water flowing in streams and rivers to reservoirs.
The initial water supply forecast does not take into account the series of storms that drenched much of the state in the last two weeks of November.
Read at Los Angeles Times
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