XRP Price Outlook: Will XRP Break Its February Curse in 2026?
Briefly

XRP Price Outlook: Will XRP Break Its February Curse in 2026?
"For the first time, XRP has built-in institutional buyers in February. U.S. spot XRP ETFs launched in November 2025 and have pulled in over $1.3 billion in cumulative inflows . These ETFs went roughly 43 consecutive trading days without a single outflow since launch-something Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs couldn't match in their early days. This kind of sustained demand didn't exist in prior Februarys. Even as the XRP price dipped in the first weeks of February 2026, institutions continued accumulating through the volatility."
"Every prior February from 2014 through 2025 had the looming uncertainty of Ripple's SEC lawsuit, but that regulatory overhang is now gone. On August 7, 2025, the SEC and Ripple filed a joint stipulation to dismiss their respective appeals, officially ending nearly five years of litigation. The ruling confirmed that XRP is not a security when traded on public exchanges."
XRP historically fell in seven of 11 Februaries since 2014, averaging a 3% monthly loss, with February 2014 down 33.4% and February 2018 down 22.1%. In February 2026, XRP plunged over 30%, touching $1.11 before rebounding to $1.40. Four factors could alter the pattern: U.S. spot XRP ETFs launched in November 2025 have amassed over $1.3 billion and provided steady institutional demand; the SEC and Ripple dismissed appeals on August 7, 2025, confirming XRP is not a security on public exchanges; an already-compressed starting price and low funding rates further reduce downside risk, though reversal is not guaranteed.
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