The Danish Defense Intelligence Service's annual security outlook warns that if Russia deploys its navy for escorting shadow fleet vessels, it would escalate tensions in European waters, directly threatening NATO member states.
Despite sanctions aimed at crippling its oil trading capabilities, Russia's shadow fleet has developed a significant capacity to circumvent these restrictions, evidenced by the continued export of crude oil at market prices.
Energy represents about 20% of Russia's GDP, illustrating the critical role oil revenue plays in supporting the country’s economy, which has already faced substantial reductions amid Western sanctions.
With international sanctions tightening, Russia's oil revenue has dropped significantly, indicating the mounting economic pressure the nation endures as it attempts to navigate a complex geopolitical environment.
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