Buy, Sell, or Hold: Palantir at $134 and NVIDIA at $220
Briefly

Buy, Sell, or Hold: Palantir at $134 and NVIDIA at $220
"Palantir builds data and AI software (Gotham, Foundry, AIP) for U.S. defense, intelligence, and commercial markets. After reaching a $207.52 high in February, the stock unwound to the low $130s, with Polymarket pegging a 99.5% probability close in the $132 to $134 band."
"NVIDIA designs the GPUs powering hyperscale AI build-outs. It sits at a roughly $5.46 trillion market cap with partnerships across Meta, Anthropic, AWS, Azure, Oracle, and CoreWeave, and guided Q1 FY27 revenue to $78.0B, ahead of prior expectations."
"NVIDIA's most recent quarter delivered $68.13B in revenue, up 73.2% YoY, with Data Center hitting $62.31B (+75%) and Networking up 263%. FY26 free cash flow reached $96.58B, and management returned $41.1B to shareholders. A forward P/E of 27 on accelerating growth is rare at this scale."
"Palantir trades at a trailing P/E near 152, price/sales of 61, and EV/EBITDA of 160. Even strong execution leaves little room for error. Stock-based compensation of $684M for FY25 and customer concentration in terminable government contracts add risk."
Palantir and NVIDIA both anchor AI exposure but differ in valuation and risk. Palantir provides data and AI software for defense, intelligence, and commercial markets, with its stock falling from a February high near $207 to the low $130s. NVIDIA supplies GPUs for hyperscale AI systems and has broad partnerships across major cloud and AI players. NVIDIA’s latest quarter showed strong revenue growth, with Data Center and Networking leading, and large free cash flow and shareholder returns. Palantir has beaten earnings repeatedly and projects rapid revenue growth, but trades at very high multiples and faces risks from stock-based compensation and government contract concentration. NVIDIA also faces export-rule and margin pressures tied to AI capex demand.
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