"A death cross appears when a short-term moving average falls below a longer-term moving average, signaling that short-term momentum's turned negative. In Bitcoin's case, the 50-day average dipped under the 200-day on November 16, while the price fell to around $93,000. Technical traders view this as a bearish signal because it shows sellers have dominated recent sessions. Although death crosses aren't automatic crash indicators."
"Data compiled by analyst Mario Nawfal shows that over the past decade, returns in the first three weeks after a death cross are evenly split between gains and losses. Two to three months later, average recoveries range from 15% to 26%. Some cycles saw death crosses precede rallies to new highs, while others signaled deeper bear markets. The current crossover follows a 25% decline from Bitcoin's October 6 peak of $126,000 ."
Bitcoin formed a death cross on November 16, 2025, when its 50-day moving average dipped below the 200-day, coinciding with a price near $93,000 after a 25% drop from the October peak of $126,000. Death crosses signal weakening short-term momentum but often lag after substantial drawdowns, and past crosses in the cycle marked local lows. Historical data show first-three-week returns after death crosses split evenly between gains and losses, with two-to-three-month recoveries averaging 15–26%. The recent slide erased year-to-date gains and pushed market sentiment into extreme fear amid broader macro headwinds.
Read at 24/7 Wall St.
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