Queens Assembly Member Zohran Mamdani is increasingly challenging former Governor Andrew Cuomo in the Democratic primary race for mayor, according to a new Emerson College poll. The survey indicates that Cuomo leads with 35% to Mamdani's 23% but shows Mamdani's significant gain against the former governor. An internal poll revealed Mamdani performed even better, leading to speculation about how well Cuomo can maintain his lead. The analysis emphasizes the importance of second-choice votes, especially as Mamdani appeals to younger and more diverse voters.
Cuomo's strongest support comes from Black voters (74%), those over 50 (66%), and women (58% to 42%); Mamdani is strongest among voters under 50 (61%), white voters (57%) and male voters.
Mamdani has surged, gaining 23 points and winning second-choice votes nearly 2-to-1, cutting Cuomo's ranked-choice lead from 12 points to 9 points.
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