"Sam asks: Assuming Willson Contreras agrees to waive his NTC, what sort of return would the Cardinals receive? Same question for Sonny Gray too please. (Assuming that Arenado is not moved or that the Cardinals eat most of his contract in exchange for a PTBNL or similar from his limited list of teams) Hugh asks: Assuming Arenado and Gray waive NTCs, what are the chances Cardinals can move them? Would Arenado be a non-tender candidate?"
"It's difficult to just assume Contreras, Gray, or Arenado would waive their no-trade clauses, even for the sake or argument. That's because those players would basically never entertain saying, "OK, I consent to a trade to any of the other 29 teams. Go for it!" They'd do something like what Arenado did last winter: provide a list of approved teams, and/or tell the GM you'll take it on a case-by-case basis if a deal is close."
"Contreras, 34 next May, became a full-time first baseman for the Cardinals this year. Perhaps a new team would consider using him behind the plate here or there, especially if the automated ball-strike system is implemented, but we'll mostly consider him a first baseman/DH. Contreras dealt with some minor injuries this year, but had avoided the IL until today. His season has ended due to a right shoulder strain. Contreras managed to post a solid 123 wRC+ in a career-high 563 plate appearances,"
Questions evaluate potential returns for Willson Contreras and Sonny Gray if they waive no-trade clauses and probe Nolan Arenado's tradeability and non-tender risk. Players with no-trade protections commonly provide limited approved-team lists rather than full unconditional waivers. Contreras shifted to full-time first base and DH duties and produced a 123 wRC+ across 563 plate appearances, totaling 2.8 fWAR in 135 games before a right shoulder strain ended his season. Contreras posted a 135 wRC+ since May, indicating top-20 hitter upside and strong Statcast metrics despite age and recent injury history.
Read at MLB Trade Rumors
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