Vali Nasr argues that as Iran's influence decreases in the Middle East, particularly with its retreat from Syria, opportunities for improved US-Iran relations may emerge. He believes these shifts in power dynamics could lead to a re-evaluation of diplomatic strategies previously hindered by Iran's regional assertiveness.
Nasr warns that Israel's assumptions regarding the regional shifts might be misguided. He points out that after Israel's intervention in Lebanon in 1982 aimed to destroy the resistance, the opposition only grew stronger, suggesting that current events may not yield the outcomes Israel anticipates.
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