The article discusses the challenging season for the Braves, who are currently underperforming but hold potential for improvement. With a BaseRuns record of 42-41, they are within striking distance of playoff contention. While some metrics indicate that the team is underperforming relative to expectations, it also raises the debate about whether the franchise should make significant roster changes or maintain the current lineup. The discussion revolves around the balance of hope and statistical reality, emphasizing the gambler's fallacy in predicting future outcomes based solely on past performance.
At its base level, the Braves are 42-41 by BaseRuns, which means they're fewer than two games back of the sixth-place NL team by BaseRuns.
They don't really need much more justification than that to avoid selling, but then you consider that their wOBA-xwOBA gap is only growing and yeah, the stars are aligning for 'it just hasn't been our year to date!'.
But it's also gambler's fallacy to suggest that it's going to even out in the remaining 80 games or so...
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