Ben Horowitz says fears of an AI-fueled job apocalypse are based on a flawed assumption
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Ben Horowitz says fears of an AI-fueled job apocalypse are based on a flawed assumption
"Ben Horowitz doesn't buy the idea that artificial intelligence is about to wipe out work as we know it. The cofounder of Andreessen Horowitz says many of the loudest warnings about AI-driven mass unemployment rest on a flawed premise: that the future of work is predictable. History, he said, suggests the opposite. "I think people are acting as though it's very predictable when it's not at all predictable," Horowitz said in an interview on the "Invest Like The Best" podcast on Tuesday."
"A divided AI debate Horowitz's comments come as tech executives, economists, and policymakers remain split over how many jobs AI could eliminate, how quickly those changes might arrive, and whether displacement is inevitable at all. Some senior AI researchers, including computer scientist Geoffrey Hinton, often called the "Godfather of AI," UC Berkeley professor Stuart Russell, University of Louisville computer science professor Roman Yampolskiy, and some tech leaders, including Anthropic's CEO Dario Amodei, have warned of AI's potential to replace large swaths of jobs."
Predictions that AI will cause mass unemployment assume predictable outcomes that history does not support. Automation repeatedly eliminated large numbers of jobs while enabling new types of work and broader economic opportunity. Agricultural mechanization erased most farming jobs yet led to unforeseen occupations and sectors. Experts remain divided on the scale, speed, and inevitability of AI-driven displacement, with some warning of large job losses and others anticipating job reshaping and creation. Uncertainty about which roles will vanish and which will emerge complicates policy and business planning, requiring adaptive responses rather than fixed forecasts.
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