Anthropic cofounders say the likelihood of AI replacing human jobs is so high that they needed to warn the world about it

"As with most things, when an exponential is moving very quickly, you can't be sure,"

"I think it is likely enough to happen that we felt there was a need to warn the world about it and to speak honestly."

"the scale of disruption we expect in the next five years."

"I think there's a 25% chance the AI will go "really, really badly," and that there's a "75% chance that things go really, really well.""

Rapid advances in AI are likely to displace a substantial share of human jobs, particularly entry-level office positions. Projections place the elimination of up to half of all entry-level white-collar jobs within five years, with unemployment rising toward 10–20 percent. Routine functions in law, finance, and consulting are especially vulnerable to automation. The magnitude of expected disruption over the next five years creates a strong rationale for coordinated policy responses to manage workforce transitions and economic impacts. Risk assessments attribute roughly a 25 percent chance of very negative outcomes and a 75 percent chance of very positive outcomes.

Read at Business Insider