"Massimiliano Allegri had his calculator at hand once again in his pre-Genoa press conference, revealing his updated findings on points targets. As La Gazzetta dello Sport report, Allegri set the quota he thinks will achieve the two main objectives in his presser: "The Champions League odds have risen to 74 points. The Scudetto odds, however, I believe are at 86-88." Let's try to understand: why did he say that? And are the sums correct?"
"The current projection is for Inter to have 89 points at the end of the season. If they win their next match, they would finish the first 19 matchdays with 45 and raise the projection to 90. In short, Allegri was optimistic with that 86-88 point estimate, and it makes sense. Inter could have the Champions League to contend with this spring until April-May, which could make it hard to maintain the same pace. History suggests Allegri is right: in the last 21 years, since Serie A has had 20 teams, the Scudetto winner has averaged 88.6 points and has never dropped below 82."
Updated targets place Champions League qualification at 74 points and the Scudetto at 86–88 points. Milan's remaining fixtures prioritize Inter and Napoli rather than Roma, Juventus or Como. Inter have 42 points from 18 matches with a postponed Lecce game, projecting 89 points by season end; a win in the next match would push the projection to 90. European commitments could slow Inter's pace in spring. Since Serie A moved to 20 teams, Scudetto winners have averaged 88.6 points and never finished below 82. The Champions League cut-off varies with changing Italian allocations.
Read at SempreMilan
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