The probability of a US recession in 2025 is 0%, according to a top economist. Here's what to worry about instead.A US recession in 2025 is highly unlikely, driven by strong consumer spending and economic growth in 2024.
The Sahm Rule has flashed, but there's a simpler recession indicator investors should be watchingThe Perkins Rule indicates no imminent recession as the US economy continues adding jobs without negative payroll reports.
The probability of a US recession in 2025 is 0%, according to a top economist. Here's what to worry about instead.A US recession in 2025 is highly unlikely, driven by strong consumer spending and economic growth in 2024.
The Sahm Rule has flashed, but there's a simpler recession indicator investors should be watchingThe Perkins Rule indicates no imminent recession as the US economy continues adding jobs without negative payroll reports.
Odds of Recession Drop to 20%Goldman Sachs' recession forecast is now 20%, reflecting a volatile economic outlook influenced by retail sales and job reports.