Chris Ong, Seatrium's CEO, sees the Iran conflict sharpening what specialists call the energy trilemma, or the trade-off between energy security, affordable supply, and environmental sustainability. "The situation is now even worse because of the destruction of supply, which is still not fully priced in," Ong says. "People don't understand; they have been swung between different stories every day."
"The energy crunch is doing much more to accelerate the EV transition than any message on climate change," said Lawrence Loh, who heads the Center for Governance and Sustainability at the National University of Singapore (NUS). "Ultimately, it's about what hits your pocket-and the Iran war hits your pocket right away."
Even post-conflict, we expect [that] some of the trade flows [will] tend to reset rather than return to what they were before the war, said Rob Wilson of the energy data and consulting firm East Daley Analytics.
Roughly 20 million barrels per day of oil moved through Hormuz in 2024, equivalent to about one-fifth of global petroleum liquids consumption. When that waterway closed, oil prices spiked to $126 per barrel in what the U.S. Energy Information Administration has described as the largest supply disruption in global oil market history.
Viper owns mineral and royalty interests, primarily in the Permian Basin. Royalty owners collect a percentage of production revenue from every barrel of oil, cubic foot of natural gas, and barrel of natural gas liquids produced on their acreage without bearing drilling costs or capital expenditures.
Judge Casper stated that the suing organizations were unlikely to win their claims that the policy was arbitrary and capricious, as the justification provided was sufficient for a temporary injunction.
The Trump administration has teed up the entire Gulf region for a Deepwater Horizon sequel with its approval of BP's extremely risky ultra-deepwater drilling project, said Brettny Hardy, senior attorney at Earthjustice, one of the groups.
Traders are simultaneously pricing in two contradictory scenarios: continued political de-escalation on one hand, and the possibility of renewed escalation on the other. This fragile balance leaves the market vulnerable to sudden movements, especially given oil prices' high sensitivity to geopolitical developments in the Middle East.
The International Energy Agency (IEA) says it is the 'largest supply disruption in history'. With the disruption expected to have a lasting impact on prices, governments around the world have introduced measures to limit the impact on consumers and the economy.
A 'workable system' of transit and shipowner confidence in the security of the transiting vessels is essential. This includes availability of insurance for transiting vessels, facilitating commercial trade financing, and sustained outbound vessel transits through the Strait of Hormuz.
The world's top 100 oil and gas companies banked more than $30m every hour in unearned profit in the first month of the US-Israeli war in Iran, with Saudi Aramco, Gazprom, and ExxonMobil among the biggest beneficiaries.