TPC Craig Ranch plays as a Par 71 at over 7,500 yards following its $25 million renovation last December. The fairways are wide, the greens are large and receptive, and the winning score has reached 23-under or better in every edition since 2021, culminating in Scottie Scheffler's staggering 31-under win last year. Birdie or better rate, Strokes Gained: Approach, and tee-to-green consistency are the filters that matter most this week. Players who can go low and sustain that throughout four rounds have a genuine chance to contend regardless of their position on the odds board.
Driving distance matters because bombers can reach all four par-5s in two shots and hit shorter irons into greens. Approach play from 150 yards and beyond is arguably the single most important skill, with nine of the past ten winners finishing in the top six in Strokes Gained: Approach for the week.