#hard-landing

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#consumer-sentiment
US Elections
fromAxios
20 hours ago

Americans hate the 2026 economy

Consumer sentiment is at an all-time low, reflecting economic concerns despite low unemployment and rising GDP.
US Elections
fromwww.businessinsider.com
18 hours ago

Americans are more frustrated with the economy than ever and sky-high gas prices could be a big reason why

Gas prices significantly impact American consumer sentiment, with higher prices correlating to lower feelings about the economy.
#federal-reserve
fromFortune
1 day ago
US Elections

Investors are writing off any move from the Fed this month-collapsing talks in Iran have sealed the deal | Fortune

Business
fromnews.bitcoin.com
2 days ago

Analyst Says Federal Reserve Is Ignoring US Recession Signals in 2026

The Fed risks a historic policy error by maintaining rates amid slowing GDP and consumer spending, according to QI Research CEO Danielle DiMartino Booth.
US Elections
fromFortune
1 day ago

Investors are writing off any move from the Fed this month-collapsing talks in Iran have sealed the deal | Fortune

Investors expect the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates at 3.5%-3.75% amid rising oil prices due to tensions with Iran.
#uk-economy
fromLondon Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com
5 hours ago
UK politics

Britons overwhelmingly back economic growth but doubt it will benefit them - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

Public support for economic growth in the UK is high, but skepticism about personal benefits persists among citizens.
fromBusiness Matters
5 days ago
UK news

The spectre of stagflation returns as Britain's private sector grinds to a near-halt

Britain's private sector faces stagflation with rising costs and falling demand, driven by geopolitical tensions affecting oil prices.
UK news
fromBusiness Matters
5 days ago

The spectre of stagflation returns as Britain's private sector grinds to a near-halt

Britain's private sector faces stagflation with rising costs and falling demand, driven by geopolitical tensions affecting oil prices.
#dollar-index
#inflation
Coffee
fromFortune
3 days ago

Inflation goes up by a whopping monthly rate of nearly 1%-and it's hitting you at the grocery store and gas station | Fortune

Caffeine addiction is costly as coffee prices surged 30.5% year over year due to inflation and tariffs.
fromFortune
3 hours ago
World news

Most of Wall Street points to high oil prices as the driver of inflation. A maverick Johns Hopkins economist says they're chasing the wrong culprit | Fortune

Coffee
fromFortune
3 days ago

Inflation goes up by a whopping monthly rate of nearly 1%-and it's hitting you at the grocery store and gas station | Fortune

Caffeine addiction is costly as coffee prices surged 30.5% year over year due to inflation and tariffs.
fromFortune
3 hours ago
World news

Most of Wall Street points to high oil prices as the driver of inflation. A maverick Johns Hopkins economist says they're chasing the wrong culprit | Fortune

Careers
fromFortune
4 days ago

The job market is so bad, workers now think they have worse odds of finding a role than during the pandemic | Fortune

Job seekers are more pessimistic about job prospects now than during the pandemic peak, despite recent job growth statistics.
#housing-market
fromFortune
3 days ago
SF real estate

The 'affordability economy' has created a housing market nobody predicted: Prices collapsing in the Sun Belt, soaring in the Rust Belt | Fortune

SF real estate
fromFortune
3 days ago

The 'affordability economy' has created a housing market nobody predicted: Prices collapsing in the Sun Belt, soaring in the Rust Belt | Fortune

U.S. housing market is experiencing a significant decline in prices after a post-pandemic boom, with projections for continued decreases.
Real estate
fromwww.housingwire.com
6 days ago

Housing market crash unlikely despite war, high rates

Housing demand remains strong despite rising mortgage rates, with no historical precedent for price crashes without distressed sellers.
Real estate
fromwww.housingwire.com
1 week ago

How is the housing market weathering war-time economics?

Pending home sales decreased to 70,676, influenced by rising mortgage rates, while total pending sales remain higher year-over-year at 380,914.
Real estate
fromwww.housingwire.com
3 days ago

Why the hiring rate matters more than unemployment for the housing market

The labor market remains strong with low unemployment, impacting housing stability and reducing risks of distressed inventory.
fromHarvard Business Review
4 days ago

Limiting Your Exposure to the Private Credit Crisis

Both experts acknowledge the brewing trouble in the private credit sector, emphasizing that while risks are present, they do not believe a financial crisis is unavoidable.
Higher education
Germany news
fromwww.dw.com
4 days ago

Germany news: Inflation creeps up as fuel costs mount

Germany's inflation rate rose to 2.7% in March, driven by surging energy prices and higher costs in various sectors.
#sp-500
from24/7 Wall St.
2 days ago
US Elections

The Second Year of President Donald Trump's Term Has a Pattern - Here's What It Means for Stocks

Year Two of a presidential term typically sees weaker stock performance, with the S&P 500 averaging just 4.2% returns historically.
from24/7 Wall St.
2 days ago
Business

Not All the Signals Are Bearish Under President Donald Trump - Here's What Bulls Are Watching

S&P 500 saw a 12.8% return from Election Day 2024 to April 10, 2026, driven by strong corporate earnings and supportive policies.
US Elections
from24/7 Wall St.
23 hours ago

History Suggests Stocks Could Surprise to the Upside Under President Donald Trump

The S&P 500 achieved an 81.3% total return during Trump's first term, driven by tax cuts, deregulation, and fiscal stimulus.
US Elections
from24/7 Wall St.
2 days ago

The Second Year of President Donald Trump's Term Has a Pattern - Here's What It Means for Stocks

Year Two of a presidential term typically sees weaker stock performance, with the S&P 500 averaging just 4.2% returns historically.
Business
from24/7 Wall St.
2 days ago

Not All the Signals Are Bearish Under President Donald Trump - Here's What Bulls Are Watching

S&P 500 saw a 12.8% return from Election Day 2024 to April 10, 2026, driven by strong corporate earnings and supportive policies.
UK politics
fromwww.independent.co.uk
13 hours ago

Reeves to urge allies to co-operate amid economic turmoil from Iran War

The Independent provides crucial journalism on key issues without paywalls, relying on donations to support reporting and analysis.
#mortgage-rates
SF real estate
fromSFGATE
4 days ago

Mortgage Rates Move Lower as Economic Outlook Worsens

Mortgage interest rates have slightly improved, but the economic outlook remains negative, indicating deeper financial concerns for consumers and businesses.
Real estate
fromwww.housingwire.com
6 days ago

Mortgage applications drop as refi, purchase demand weakens

Higher mortgage rates and economic uncertainty continue to depress mortgage applications, with refinance activity at its lowest since December 2025.
SF real estate
fromSFGATE
4 days ago

Mortgage Rates Move Lower as Economic Outlook Worsens

Mortgage interest rates have slightly improved, but the economic outlook remains negative, indicating deeper financial concerns for consumers and businesses.
Real estate
fromwww.housingwire.com
6 days ago

Mortgage applications drop as refi, purchase demand weakens

Higher mortgage rates and economic uncertainty continue to depress mortgage applications, with refinance activity at its lowest since December 2025.
fromwww.aljazeera.com
13 hours ago

Energy prices rise despite Jones Act suspension by Trump

Shipping costs have increased by more than 10 percent in the past month due to the US-Israel war on Iran. The 60-day waiver for the Jones Act aimed to lower energy costs but has had little impact on oil prices, which continue to rise amid the ongoing conflict.
World news
US news
fromBoston.com
1 day ago

Lessons learned in '70s have made the US and world economies less vulnerable to oil shocks

Oil prices are surging again due to Middle East conflicts, raising concerns about stagflation and economic vulnerability.
US politics
fromwww.mediaite.com
1 week ago

Larry Summers Reportedly Believes Trump's Economy Is on the Brink of Crisis

Larry Summers warns the U.S. economy is fragile and nearing crisis, with inflation risks underestimated by many analysts.
fromnews.bitcoin.com
4 hours ago

Shrinkflation Hits Brazilians as Middle East Conflict Pushes Prices Higher

Shrinkflation has entered the Brazilian economy, with companies changing their presentation to include fewer quantities while keeping prices the same, leading to hidden inflation.
US Elections
fromTearsheet
1 day ago

Consumer banking is back in focus - and looks nothing like 2019 - Tearsheet

Leading US banks are not just going digital; they are realizing that digital savings and loans alone do not ensure sustained engagement or profitability. These services must connect to the banks' core strengths: trust, scale, and long-term financial relationships.
Business
#stagflation
Business
from24/7 Wall St.
6 days ago

The Federal Reserve's Nightmare Scenario Is Taking Shape and the Stock Market Should Pay Attention

Stagflation is emerging as inflation rises, unemployment softens, and economic growth stagnates, complicating Federal Reserve policy responses.
Business
from24/7 Wall St.
6 days ago

The Federal Reserve's Nightmare Scenario Is Taking Shape and the Stock Market Should Pay Attention

Stagflation is emerging as inflation rises, unemployment softens, and economic growth stagnates, complicating Federal Reserve policy responses.
UK news
fromBusiness Matters
4 days ago

Mortgage defaults hit two-year high as Iran crisis drives borrowing costs sharply higher

Britain faces rising mortgage defaults and credit strain due to the Iran crisis and increased borrowing costs.
Business
fromBusiness Matters
1 day ago

UK business confidence crashes to Covid-era lows as Iran conflict forces firms into survival mode

CFO confidence in Britain has plummeted to a six-year low due to the war in Iran, prompting businesses to conserve cash and cut costs.
#cpi
World news
from24/7 Wall St.
3 days ago

The S&P Hangs On The Edge As Today's CPI Report Looms Over Open

Consumer prices rose significantly due to the Iran conflict, impacting market confidence and rate expectations.
US Elections
fromnews.bitcoin.com
3 days ago

March US Inflation Rises 0.9% to 3.3% Led by Energy Prices

The U.S. CPI rose 3.3% in March, driven by a 21.2% increase in gasoline prices amid ongoing geopolitical tensions.
Business
from24/7 Wall St.
3 days ago

The VIX Looks Calm, But Could Swing Wildly As The Market Digests CPI Data

March CPI report is expected to show significant inflation driven primarily by energy prices.
World news
from24/7 Wall St.
3 days ago

The S&P Hangs On The Edge As Today's CPI Report Looms Over Open

Consumer prices rose significantly due to the Iran conflict, impacting market confidence and rate expectations.
US Elections
fromnews.bitcoin.com
3 days ago

March US Inflation Rises 0.9% to 3.3% Led by Energy Prices

The U.S. CPI rose 3.3% in March, driven by a 21.2% increase in gasoline prices amid ongoing geopolitical tensions.
Business
from24/7 Wall St.
3 days ago

The VIX Looks Calm, But Could Swing Wildly As The Market Digests CPI Data

March CPI report is expected to show significant inflation driven primarily by energy prices.
Business
from24/7 Wall St.
2 days ago

The Stock Market's Biggest Tailwind Is Fading Under Trump -- Here's Why It Matters

Investors are concerned as low energy costs are fading, impacting corporate margins and stock valuations.
fromwww.aljazeera.com
4 days ago

IMF warns of looming inflation crisis on back of US-Israel war on Iran

The conflict has driven up the price of oil and natural gas; damaged oil refineries, tanker terminals and other energy infrastructure; disrupted shipments of fertiliser that the world's farmers depend on; and damaged the confidence of businesses and consumers.
World news
Business
from24/7 Wall St.
3 days ago

Live Nasdaq Composite: Market Recovery Underway Amid Economic Tailwinds

Markets are optimistic despite Mideast conflict, with Nasdaq and S&P 500 showing significant gains this week.
#recession
US Elections
fromFortune
6 days ago

Top economist Mark Zandi says the indicator that has called every recession since WWII just signaled we're already in one | Fortune

The U.S. economy may already be in a recession according to the Vicious Cycle Index.
US Elections
fromFortune
6 days ago

Top economist Mark Zandi says the indicator that has called every recession since WWII just signaled we're already in one | Fortune

The U.S. economy may already be in a recession according to the Vicious Cycle Index.
fromwww.aljazeera.com
3 weeks ago

US Fed keeps interest rates steady amid economic, geopolitical uncertainty

The Committee seeks to achieve maximum employment and inflation at the rate of 2 percent over the longer run. Uncertainty about the economic outlook remains elevated. The implications of developments in the Middle East for the US economy are uncertain, the central bank said in a statement announcing its policy decision and referring to its Federal Open Market Committee.
US politics
fromFortune
1 week ago

A Wall Street vet's Walmart recession indicator just hit its highest point since 2008-and he says the fear 'just keeps multiplying' | Fortune

'Walmart Worries' just keep multiplying. It's currently close to the highest level ever recorded which was during the Great Financial Crisis of 2008-09.
Business
Business
from24/7 Wall St.
1 week ago

Fed Chair Powell Warns: Another Supply Shock Is Coming

Jerome Powell warns of an impending energy shock that could impact inflation and market stability.
World news
fromJezebel
3 weeks ago

No One Is Coming to Save the Economy

The Iran war has triggered a significant energy crisis, impacting global markets and inflation rates.
Business
from24/7 Wall St.
2 weeks ago

Consumer Sentiment at 56.4: The Number RTH Investors Must Watch in 2026

VanEck Retail ETF offers concentrated exposure to major U.S. retailers, with performance influenced by consumer sentiment and tariff pressures.
Data science
fromBusiness Insider
2 months ago

The under-the-radar risk that could sink America's economy

Government-produced data that underpins markets and decision-making is eroding, risking poorer decisions across economies and households.
from24/7 Wall St.
3 weeks ago

Moody's Puts Odds Of Recession At 50/50

behind the recent jump are primarily the weak labour market numbers, but almost all the economic data has turned soft since the end of last year. Total nonfarm payroll employment edged down by 92,000 in February, and the unemployment rate changed little at 4.4 percent.
US Elections
fromFortune
2 weeks ago

Goldman raises recession odds to 30% on higher inflation, lower GDP outlook as oil prices surge | Fortune

Goldman Sachs now expects Brent crude to average $105 per barrel in March and $115 in April before retreating to $80 by year-end, assuming roughly six weeks of Hormuz supply disruptions.
Business
US Elections
fromwww.npr.org
3 weeks ago

The Federal Reserve is facing tough choices as the economy faces deep uncertainty

The Federal Reserve faces conflicting pressures from weakening employment and rising inflation driven by geopolitical tensions, complicating its policy decisions.
Data science
fromBusiness Insider
2 months ago

Economic data is getting harder to come by, and the alternative won't help everyone

Erosion of BLS economic data undermines public data reliability and will widen information gaps as costly alternative data favors wealthy investors.
World news
fromwww.bbc.com
1 month ago

There's an inflation wave coming. How worried should we be?

Strait of Hormuz closure triggers rapid escalation in oil, gas, and petrochemical prices, creating inflationary pressures across global energy and industrial markets within days.
US news
fromwww.npr.org
1 month ago

The economy slowed in the last 3 months of the year but was still solid in 2025

U.S. GDP grew 1.4% annualized in Q4, driven by strong consumer spending and AI-related business investment despite a sharp slowdown in hiring.
UK politics
fromwww.theguardian.com
1 month ago

Don't be fooled by recent good news, the UK economy is still in a precarious state

Labour MPs will press for significant public spending increases despite strained public finances, citing strong tax receipts and falling inflation as justification.
Business
fromFast Company
1 month ago

U.S. economy expanded at just 0.7% in fourth quarter

U.S. fourth-quarter GDP growth was revised down to 0.7% annually, significantly below initial estimates, primarily due to a government shutdown that slashed federal spending by 16.7%.
US news
fromwww.mercurynews.com
1 month ago

US economic growth weaker than thought in fourth quarter with government shutdown, consumer pullback

U.S. GDP growth slowed to a 1.4% annual rate in Q4, held back by a federal shutdown and weaker consumer spending.
US Elections
fromThe Atlantic
1 month ago

The Economy's Warning Light Is Flashing Yellow

The U.S. economy shows warning signs of stagflation with weakening job markets, persistent inflation, and oil shock risks mirroring 1970s conditions, though not yet at crisis levels.
US politics
fromEmptywheel
2 months ago

Things Go Boom When You Attempt to Retcon the Economy

Trump repeatedly changes legal explanations and policies, using administrative retconning that creates legal inconsistency and delays accountability.
Business
fromwww.npr.org
1 month ago

The U.S. unexpectedly loses 92,000 jobs, adding to worries about the economy

U.S. employers cut 92,000 jobs in February, unemployment rose to 4.4%, and job losses spread across factories, construction, federal government, and healthcare sectors.
fromwww.aljazeera.com
2 months ago

The US economy seems strong after a year of Trump, but is it really?

Since taking office, Trump has imposed a range of tariffs on countries, including key trading partners, leading to predictions of inflation skyrocketing, manufacturing screeching to a halt and unemployment soaring. None of those scenarios came true. Inflation, while above the Federal Reserve's target, was a modest 2.7 percent in December. The unemployment rate was relatively low, at 4.4 percent, last month.
US politics
Business
fromLondon Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com
1 month ago

The significant events in the global economy over the past week - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com

U.S. equity markets declined amid AI disruption concerns and trade uncertainty, while European markets gained strength with solid earnings and diversification appeal.
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