Neil Bellamy, consumer insights director at GfK, stated that soaring fuel prices and the prospect of higher energy costs serve as constant reminders of the inflationary shock from the war, leading to consumer jitters.
Even post-conflict, we expect [that] some of the trade flows [will] tend to reset rather than return to what they were before the war, said Rob Wilson of the energy data and consulting firm East Daley Analytics.
Traders are simultaneously pricing in two contradictory scenarios: continued political de-escalation on one hand, and the possibility of renewed escalation on the other. This fragile balance leaves the market vulnerable to sudden movements, especially given oil prices' high sensitivity to geopolitical developments in the Middle East.
The country is at risk of 'stagflation' - where slow economic growth is combined with rising inflation - as the energy crunch brought about by the war in the Middle East hits.
By weaponising the Strait of Hormuz, Tehran has helped drive energy prices sharply higher, forced the International Monetary Fund to slash its forecasts for UK growth and, now, has pushed the British government into preparing for food shortages at home.
Shipping costs have increased by more than 10 percent in the past month due to the US-Israel war on Iran. The 60-day waiver for the Jones Act aimed to lower energy costs but has had little impact on oil prices, which continue to rise amid the ongoing conflict.