Occidental's operational story is strong, with Q4 2025 production hitting 1,481 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day, exceeding guidance, and the Permian Basin setting a record at 800 Mboed in Q3 2025.
The Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund (NYSEARCA:DBC) is up 42% over the past year, and nearly 29% year-to-date. These gains reflect a war that has scrambled global commodity supply chains from crude oil to wheat to fertilizer.
Larry Fink stated, 'I could paint a scenario where I could see, a year from now, oil at $40 a barrel.' This projection indicates a potential collapse of roughly 58% from current prices, which would significantly impact companies reliant on fuel costs.
We expect to grow free cash flow by nearly 30% at the midpoint of our guidance. This growth is underpinned by our unreplicable solid waste network as well as the intentional investments we have made in recycling and renewable energy projects. - Jim Fish, CEO Waste Management
Over time, markets get ahead of themselves. Excitement over AI, green energy, or whatever the next big thing is tends to push stock valuations far beyond what fundamentals justify. Accordingly, more often than not, a correction can be the catalyst that brings valuation discipline back into the discussion. Think of it as the market taking a deep breath.
From its IPO in 2016 to its peak in late 2024, the stock gained more than 4,000% as it regularly put up revenue growth of 20% or more, and delivered strong profit margins as well. The stock also benefited from a premium valuation. However, over the last year, The Trade Desk has collapsed. The adtech stock has fallen 83% from its peak in late 2024 as the business has slowed to its weakest growth rate ever, except for a brief dip during the pandemic.
One of the key factors that I continue to harp on as intrinsic to my bullish thesis on TMC is the company's control of what it claims is the world's largest undeveloped battery metals resource in the Clarion-Clipperton Zone (CCZ). The company estimates that it has access to around 274 million metric tons (Mt) of wet nodules, including 51 Mt of probable reserves. These are the first, and largest-ever declared reserves for deep-sea mining, with key battery minerals included in these nodules that are surging in value.