"The half-life of humanity is currently around 35 years, said Nobel laureate in physics David Gross as he concluded an evening lecture at the German Physical Society's conference in Erlangen in March."
"The physicist believes that in a little more than three decades, there is a 50 percent chance that our species will be extinct."
"Looking at history, I'm not quite so optimistic. Unfortunately, people rarely act rationally."
"Game theory offers a remarkable tool for problem-solving, but it does not, in itself, guarantee peace."
David Gross stated that humanity's half-life is around 35 years, indicating a 50% chance of extinction in over three decades. He noted that the risk of nuclear war is rising from 1% to 2% annually. Despite hopes for game theory to prevent nuclear conflict, historical actions show that people often do not act rationally. John von Neumann, a key figure in game theory, contributed to atomic bomb development and advocated for preemptive strikes, illustrating that game theory does not ensure peace.
Read at www.scientificamerican.com
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