The Guardian view on a Himalayan truce: it follows a familiar pattern of conflicts past | Editorial
Briefly

The long-standing arms race between India and Pakistan, underscored by nationalist sentiment and historic mistrust, is increasingly concerning amid recent violent escalations including missile strikes. A ceasefire, brokered by the US, provides a moment of cautious optimism, yet both nations quickly began accusing each other of breaching the agreement, indicating unresolved tensions, particularly surrounding the Kashmir dispute, which has been contentious since 1947. A significant factor in the current strife is a recent terrorist attack in Kashmir, complicating any efforts for dialogue. President Trump’s attempt to mediate reflects ongoing external interest in this region, despite India’s resistance to outside involvement.
The arms race between India and Pakistan poses perhaps the most probable prospect for future use of weapons of mass destruction, including nuclear weapons, James Woolsey, the CIA director, told Congress in 1993.
It is a uniquely modern arms race: high on nationalist fervour and habitual mistrust, choreographed so that each clash is just one provocation away from becoming the last.
The truce, brokered by US officials, came amid speculation by military analysts that Pakistan was edging closer to using nuclear weapons.
The trigger this time was a brutal terrorist attack in Indian-administered Kashmir, which killed two dozen Indian tourists and was claimed by a group that India…and other analysts say is an offshoot of a United Nations-designated terror organisation.
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