"Moses Chrispus Okello, a senior researcher at the Institute for Security Studies, states that there is a high risk of escalation in Somaliland, where Israel and the UAE have interests. He emphasizes that tensions could also rise in neighboring Djibouti, where the US and other powers are active."
"Okello noted that although the Tehran-aligned Houthi group in Yemen has not engaged in the US-Israel war with Iran thus far, any further escalation in the Middle East heightens the likelihood of their involvement. He explained that historically, the Houthis have indicated that any friend of Israel is an enemy."
"Houthi leader Abdul-Malik al-Houthi criticized Israel's recognition of Somaliland, stating that 'any Israeli presence in Somaliland is considered by our armed forces to be a military target.' This highlights the potential for conflict in the region."
"Priyal Singh, a researcher at the Institute for Security Studies, believes that Somaliland features into Israel's much longer-term broader geopolitical ambitions for the region, indicating a complex interplay of interests."
The Horn of Africa faces heightened geopolitical tensions due to rivalries between nations aligned with Saudi Arabia or Turkey and those aligned with the UAE and Israel. Somaliland has emerged as a critical flashpoint, with interests from Israel and the UAE. Analysts warn that the situation could escalate, particularly in Djibouti, where the US and other powers are involved. The Houthis in Yemen, while currently inactive in the US-Israel conflict, may retaliate against perceived threats from Israel, especially following Israel's recognition of Somaliland, which they view as a military target.
Read at www.dw.com
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