"The Israeli government of Benjamin Netanyahu, which views Iran as its main enemy and rarely holds back when issuing threats, has nevertheless maintained an unexpected silence for weeks regarding the war drums that U.S. President Donald Trump has been beating against Tehran. This silence is all the more striking given that last June Israel launched a war against the Islamic Republic (later joined by Washington),"
"Netanyahu has spent years speaking about toppling the ayatollahs' regime. His tone has grown increasingly messianic, as if history had assigned him the role of saving the Jewish people. The end of the Islamic Republic would also give him a major achievement to brandish ahead of the October elections, where polls suggest he is unlikely to win. But wishes are one thing, and military and intelligence assessments are another."
"And the latter are concerned that a premature intervention could be counterproductive, and they also know that Tehran despite its weakness still has the ability to fire volleys of missiles at Israel. In short, the cure could end up being worse than the disease the Middle East is full of casualties from foreign interventions that, at first glance, looked like flawless plans."
Israel has remained unusually silent in response to U.S. threats against Iran despite prior joint military action. Netanyahu has long sought the collapse of the Islamic Republic and has intensified rhetoric that could be framed as an electoral achievement ahead of October. Military and intelligence communities express caution, warning that a premature intervention could be counterproductive and provoke missile attacks from Tehran despite its weakened state. Military planners assess that foreign interventions that initially seemed flawless have produced heavy regional casualties. Israel's cautious, wait-and-see posture has surprised observers and reflects concern about the risks of miscalculation.
Read at english.elpais.com
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