"Israel's recognition of Somaliland on December 26 had little to do with the long-standing aspirations of communities living in the breakaway region of Somaliland in northwest Somalia. It was, instead, a product of shifting geopolitics and a rapidly fragmenting global order. An issue once confined to the margins has since been pulled into the centre of regional and international power rivalries."
"Within this context, Israel's recognition of Somaliland signals something broader: the growing use of secessionist movements as disruptive instruments of geopolitical strategy across the Middle East and the Horn of Africa. What some experts describe as an Axis of Secession is already visible in Libya, Yemen, Sudan, Somalia and Syria. Led by Israel and supported by a network of regional partners, this axis targets countries whose central governments, hollowed out by conflict, exercise only partial control over their territory."
Israel's recognition of Somaliland was driven by shifting geopolitics rather than local aspirations. The Horn of Africa and the Red Sea corridor, anchored by the Bab al-Mandab Strait, have become focal points of intense regional and international competition. Multiple states and external powers now engage deeply in the area. The move exemplifies the strategic use of secessionist movements to weaken central governments and cultivate dependent breakaway polities aligned with external interests. An emerging network of actors pursues that logic to secure footholds, monitor rivals, and influence maritime routes. The strategy carries contradictions and risks that could further destabilise the region.
Read at www.aljazeera.com
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