The UK's most deprived neighbourhoods where crime and unemployment will rise the most
Briefly

The UK's most deprived neighbourhoods where crime and unemployment will rise the most
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"The most deprived areas of England will see rates of crime and unemployment rise before the end of this parliament unless further action is taken by government, a report has found. In a study published on Wednesday, the Independent Commission on Neighbourhoods (ICON) forecasted that England's 613 most-deprived neighbourhoods may see crime rates rise by 27 per cent from 2021 levels, to around 313 per 1000 people in 2030, if long-standing trends persist."
The Independent Commission on Neighbourhoods (ICON) forecasts that England's 613 most-deprived neighbourhoods may see crime rates rise by 27% from 2021 levels, reaching about 313 crimes per 1,000 people by 2030 if long-standing trends continue. These 613 neighbourhoods are home to around 1 million people and were declared 'mission critical' by ICON in 2025 because they are furthest from contributing to the government's five missions. The proportion of people economically inactive due to long-term sickness or disability is three times higher (12%) in these areas than nationally. Overall economic inactivity could reach 46.1% in these areas by 2023. The neighbourhoods experience higher welfare spending and greater isolation from the workforce. Without further government action, crime and unemployment are projected to increase before the end of the current parliament.
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