Palmer Luckey says Anduril has an internal 'China 27' strategy to prepare for a war over Taiwan

""The idea is that anything we are working on, anything that we are investing in, needs to be built with the assumption that sometime in 2027, China is going to move on Taiwan," Luckey said on a recent episode of the "Joe Rogan Experience" podcast. Luckey conceded that there's a chance he might be wrong about China's plans for Taiwan, a democratic island that the Chinese government considers a renegade province."

""And I might be wrong on this, right? It might be never. It might be a longer-term thing," Luckey said. "But, in general, like imagine how stupid I'll feel if I spend hundreds of millions of dollars building some new weapon system that I know is not going to come into service until the 2030s, which is what most experts say is outside of the window of when this invasion would happen," he said. "Wouldn't I feel pretty stupid if there's a gigantic fight and I've spent all my money on something that wasn't ready in time?""

"Luckey added that he thinks a full-scale invasion of Taiwan isn't likely to be the route the Chinese want to take, and that it would opt for a blockade instead to choke off the island. "And the thing is, even a blockade, the best way to deter that is for Taiwan to have the things that make them a very prickly porcupine, right?" Luckey said. "You want to have things like sea mining capabilities that make a blockade basically impossible to affect without destroying the entire fleet. You want things like missiles and counter-missile systems that make it impossible""

Anduril's guiding strategy, labeled "China 27," assumes China may move on Taiwan sometime in 2027 and directs company investments and development timelines. Palmer Luckey allows for uncertainty but stresses the risk of funding systems that would not be available before a potential 2027 conflict. The approach favors capabilities that can be fielded quickly rather than programs finishing in the 2030s. Luckey assesses a blockade as more likely than a full amphibious invasion and advocates equipping Taiwan with sea-mining, missile, and counter-missile systems to increase deterrence and complicate any blockade or attack.

Read at Business Insider