"Uncertainty over US and Israeli war aims is slowing the Iranian Kurdish opposition groups urged by President Donald Trump to rise up against the Islamic Republic, Kurdish analysts have told Al Jazeera. From Trump's call for Iranians to topple their government, to arguments from the United States that it was forced into attacking Iran by its ally Israel, to discredited claims that the strikes on Tehran were somehow defensive, Washington has yet to offer a clear explanation for its attacks on Iran or what its plans might be beyond them."
"Of the various ethnic groups within Iran, it is the Kurds who are arguably the most organised and militarily experienced. Opposition sentiment towards the government in Tehran is also widespread. Iranian Kurdish opposition groups have established political networks, fought rebellions against central government forces, endured repression and splits, and gained combat experience alongside other Kurdish movements from other countries, making them one of the few organised armed challenges to the Islamic Republic."
"The Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan, a forum allowing many of Iran's Kurdish opposition groups to coordinate activity against the Iranian state from their strongholds in the semi-autonomous Kurdish region of Iraq, was announced on February 22, less than a week before US-Israeli strikes began on Iran, killing Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei."
Iranian Kurdish opposition groups face significant uncertainty about whether to launch an uprising against the Iranian government, despite calls from President Trump. While Kurds represent the most organized and militarily experienced ethnic opposition within Iran with established political networks and combat experience, they remain unclear about US and Israeli war aims following recent strikes on Iran. The Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan was recently formed to coordinate opposition activities, yet potential allies question what comes next. Observers note that air strikes alone cannot defeat the Iranian government, and with US public opposition to ground involvement, Kurdish groups must weigh the risks of rebellion against uncertain international backing.
Read at www.aljazeera.com
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