"The war in Iran is currently in a phase in which the military trajectory is relatively positive: The United States is steadily destroying Iran's ability to use its most essential tool in the war-drone and missile attacks-which in turn underpin the entire Iranian strategy."
"While Iran has inflicted significant damage to U.S. installations in the region and allied infrastructure, the pace of its attacks is plunging and hasn't come close to its original plan for fighting off an existential threat to the regime with overwhelming retaliation."
"The U.S.-Israeli bombardment has destroyed hundreds of Iranian launchers, and its missile force troops are reportedly demoralized, deserting, and refusing orders, according to ISW."
Following U.S. and Israeli military operations against Iran, oil prices initially spiked but eased as tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz resumed. The Institute for the Study of War reports the military campaign is progressing positively for the U.S. and Israel. Iran's attack capabilities have deteriorated substantially, with drone attacks on the UAE dropping from 332 to six, and ballistic missile attacks falling from 137 to four. U.S.-Israeli bombardment has destroyed hundreds of Iranian launchers, and Iranian missile force troops show signs of demoralization and desertion. While some Iranian projectiles have caused damage to oil infrastructure, the overall attack trajectory is declining. No evidence suggests Iran is strategically reserving weapons for future use.
#us-iran-military-conflict #military-strategy-and-tactics #oil-market-impact #drone-and-missile-warfare
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