Gaza: What is the actual death toll, and how can we be sure? DW 07/03/2025
Briefly

Research led by Michael Spagat estimates that over 80,000 Palestinians have died in the Gaza conflict from October 7, 2023, to January 5, 2025. The Gazan Ministry of Health maintains detailed records of casualties, verifying names, IDs, ages, and sexes. Previous research highlighted discrepancies in reported deaths, noting a potential under-reporting of casualties by 41%. An independent study using household interviews seeks to provide a new perspective on death toll estimates in Gaza, collaborating with the Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research for accuracy and verifiability.
Researchers estimate that more than 80,000 Palestinians have been killed in Israel's military campaign in Gaza between October 7, 2023 and January 5, 2025.
The Gazan Ministry of Health keeps records of casualties which include names, ID numbers, ages, and sexes, allowing for verification of numbers.
A study published in The Lancet compared social media obituaries with Ministry of Health records, revealing that while some names were confirmed, many names were missing.
A new independent study conducted by a team led by Michael Spagat utilized interviews with Gaza residents, providing an alternative estimate of war-related deaths.
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