"you can see where the protest activity, you know, that's taken place over the last couple of weeks, probably has weakened a lot of regime cohesion. But what we really also see is that the Iranian government is completely dedicated to remaining in power, and that means that they're prepared to do anything to maintain their control both inside the country and potentially using military force outside of it through the missile program that they have and potentially their proxies as well."
"So they've got still a fairly significant medium-range ballistic missile capability. And medium sometimes gives the impression of not significant. Medium range just simply means how far the missiles can go, and that means they can absolutely still hit Israel as well as potentially targets further afield. They also have a fairly large arsenal of small-range missiles, short-range missiles that potentially could strike targets on the western side of the Persian"
Indirect nuclear negotiations between the U.S. and Iran aim to roll back Iran's remaining nuclear capabilities after strikes last year. Iran's economy is in bad shape and recent protest activity has likely weakened regime cohesion, but the government remains fully dedicated to staying in power. Iran retains a significant medium-range ballistic missile capability capable of striking Israel and other distant targets, plus a large arsenal of short-range missiles able to hit western Persian Gulf targets. Iran also fields proxies that can project force beyond its borders. These military and political dynamics complicate efforts to reduce the nuclear threat.
Read at www.npr.org
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