"At the current rate, China's population could drop as low as 800 million by the year 2100, according to the United Nations. China's population fell for the fourth year in a row in 2025 after the country's birth rate dropped to its lowest point since records began almost 80 years ago, according to figures released by the national statistics office in Beijing on Monday."
"But incentives including better financial support for parents the government announced cash subsidies of 3,600 yuan ($500) per child to families in July 2025 and tax breaks for kindergartens, daycares and matchmaking services have failed to have the desired effect. Nor has a 13% tax increase on condoms and other contraceptives, with the fertility rate estimated to have flatlined at 1 child per woman in her lifetime, far below the 2.1 rate that would maintain the size of China's population."
China's population declined for the fourth consecutive year in 2025, falling to about 1.404 billion, roughly 3 million fewer than the previous year. Only 7.92 million babies were born in 2025, pushing the birth rate down 17% to 5.63 births per 1,000 people, while the death rate stood at 8.04 per 1,000. India surpassed China in population in 2023 and stands at about 1.464 billion. The fertility rate is estimated at about one child per woman, far below the 2.1 replacement level. Government incentives including cash subsidies, tax breaks, and other measures have not reversed the decline, and UN projections place the population potentially near 800 million by 2100.
Read at www.dw.com
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