"Gray has two seasons and change under his belt with the Nationals. He last played in 2024, which saw him appear in just two games. We are better off reeling it back to 2023. In 2023, Gray went 8-13 for record with a 3.91 ERA and 1.6 WAR. Back in 2022, his rookie season, Gray recorded himself a 5.02 ERA."
"The value of Gray enlies with his array of pitches. He has a repertoire of six pitches that fringe on, or exceed 10%. This is his Cutter, Four-Seam Fastball, Slider, Curveball, Sinker, and Changeup. Gray comes off of Tommy John surgery, but many pitchers recover just fine. At 28 years of age, Gray should be able to re-enter the Nationals Starting Rotation for Opening Day. He would likely slate the mid-to-late rotation."
Josiah Gray is expected to be ready by 2026 Spring Training and healthy to start the 2026 season in the Nationals rotation. Gray has two seasons with Washington, with limited 2024 action (two games) and a full 2023 season in which he went 8-13 with a 3.91 ERA and 1.6 WAR; his 2022 rookie ERA was 5.02. Gray offers a six-pitch repertoire—cutter, four-seam fastball, slider, curveball, sinker, and changeup—each used at or near double-digit rates. After Tommy John surgery, Gray, at age 28, projects as a mid-to-late rotation starter depending on spring form and roster moves. The Nationals hired 30-year-old Simon Mathews as pitching coach, indicating a shift from previous coaching approaches and potential analytic-driven usage for Gray's diverse arsenal.
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