The article analyzes the matchup between the Capitals and Hurricanes in their second-round NHL series. Statistical models indicate Carolina's superiority in expected goals and overall metrics, positioning them as heavy favorites. Interestingly, despite Carolina's statistical edge, the Caps have outperformed their expected goals during the regular season, signaling strong finishing and goaltending abilities. Special teams metrics reveal that while both teams excel on the penalty kill, the Caps have not maximized their power-play opportunities, adding another layer of intrigue to the series dynamics.
In terms of expected goals over the course of the regular season, Carolina was the better team, showcasing an edge in both offensive and defensive matchups.
The Caps outperformed their expected goals both for and against at five-on-five, suggesting superior finishing and goaltending talent, along with potential regression prospects.
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