Despite the Washington Capitals finishing with the best record in the Eastern Conference and defeating the Montreal Canadiens in the first round, analytics site MoneyPuck places them as underdogs for the remainder of the 2025 Stanley Cup Playoffs. With only a 44.8% chance against the Carolina Hurricanes and the worst odds for both reaching the finals and winning the Cup among final teams, their playoff outlook appears bleak. Other analytics outlets echo a similar pessimism, and Capitals' historical performance suggests a discrepancy between analytical predictions and on-ice success.
MoneyPuck gives the Capitals only a 44.8 percent chance of beating the Carolina Hurricanes in the seven game series.
Pessimism about Washington's chances has been around for years. The Caps have consistently shown better results on the scoreboard than their underlying possession statistics would suggest.
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