Nintendo forecasts 15 million sales for the Switch 2, a conservative estimate influenced by its pricing. Analysts question if this figure is sufficient for success, raising concerns about potential market reactions. Historical data on Nintendo’s past console launches shows selling out at launch doesn’t guarantee long-term success. The company's two best performers succeeded prior hits, suggesting that’s essential for strong initial sales. While reaching 15 million would not be negative, it does not ensure the Switch 2 will match its predecessors' triumphs, particularly with ongoing challenges in today's market.
"There's a clear pattern to Nintendo's two fastest sellers; they were successors to massive hits, indicating that while 15 million is solid, it doesn't guarantee future success."
"Selling 15 million units would not be bad news for Nintendo, but it also doesn't mean the Switch 2 will be an unequivocal triumph given its pricing challenges."
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