"Breaking it down further, he argued Ciattarelli would need to win over some of Kamala Harris's 2024 voters if he wanted to close the gap. Mikie Sherrill leads among the Harris voters by 87 points, according to a recent Fox News poll. And look at how Jack Ciattarelli is doing among Donald Trump voters, he's leading them by 86 points, which is basically equal to the 87 points."
"he needs to be eating more into Sherrill's base than she's eating into that Donald Trump base that, of course, Jack Ciattarelli is reliant on. And simply put, at this moment, Jack Ciattarelli, at least in the polling data that is public, the non-internal polling, is not doing what he needs to do in order to win in November. This does not get him to the promise land."
New Quinnipiac polling shows Rep. Mikie Sherrill leading Jack Ciattarelli by six points in the New Jersey gubernatorial contest. A Fox News poll indicates Sherrill outpaces Kamala Harris's 2024 voters by 87 points, while Ciattarelli leads Donald Trump voters by 86 points. Because Harris carried New Jersey by six points, Ciattarelli must not merely mirror partisan margins but must peel support from Sherrill's base to overcome the deficit. Public, non-internal polling currently does not show Ciattarelli achieving that necessary shift. Historical precedent is cited: the last Republican gubernatorial win in New Jersey under a Republican president was Tom Kean, forty years ago.
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