"Equally interesting is the agency-level data: since Trump took office ICE detentions are sharply up, but CBP detentions are down. I am not sure why CBP detentions are down."
"This person suggested that CBP arrests might reflect not just enforcement capacity, but the number of people attempting to cross the border illegally-a figure that could fluctuate based on how welcoming an administration appears to be toward immigration."
"The data is available on this page and is published as an Excel workbook titled "CBP Encounters - USBP - November 2024." It covers October 1999 through November 2024, spanning five presidential administrations."
Visualizations show detainee counts in ICE custody over time, split by arresting agency ICE or CBP, revealing ICE detentions increased sharply after Trump took office while CBP detentions declined. A DHS statistician suggested CBP encounters may proxy attempted illegal border crossings, which can vary with perceived administration openness and policy rhetoric. The USBP encounters dataset records each removable alien encounter and can serve as a proxy for attempted crossings. The dataset is published as an Excel workbook titled "CBP Encounters - USBP - November 2024" and covers October 1999 through November 2024, spanning five presidential administrations. The hypothesis that administration tone influences attempted crossings merits further analysis using USBP data alongside policy timelines and enforcement capacity measures.
Read at Ari Lamstein
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