Trump says he's never polled better. But poll averages put him near a historic low. - Poynter
Briefly

Trump says he's never polled better. But poll averages put him near a historic low. - Poynter
"Polling analysts say the best way to get a snapshot of survey results is to look at aggregations - collections of publicly released polls that average the most recent. A single poll might be an outlier, but averages of all polls decrease the influence of outlier polls. Aggregators' methods differ, but generally they give the greatest weight to the most recent polls. Many also give greater weight to polls with more accurate track records."
"There are eight commonly used aggregators: Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin; FiftyPlusOne; Decision Desk HQ; RealClearPolitics, The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter; The New York Times; Votehub; and RacetotheWH. Every one of these poll aggregators show Trump's approval rating has tumbled since the beginning of his second term in January, mirrored by a steady rise in his disapproval rating. Each of the poll aggregators show Trump's approval rating in positive territory in January, flipping to even approval-disapproval ratings sometime in March."
Major polling aggregators show a sustained decline in Donald Trump's approval rating since the start of his second term in January. Aggregators weight recent polls and prioritize transparent, accurate pollsters, reducing influence of outliers. Across eight commonly used aggregators, approval was positive in January but flipped to roughly even by March, after which disapproval steadily exceeded approval. Among seven aggregators publishing since January, January averages were about 54.2% approval and 40.8% disapproval; by Nov. 24, averages were about 41.5% approval and 56% disapproval. The trend indicates a notable drop in public approval over the period.
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