"As a result, in nine days, there's a good chance that the government will shut down, the thing many lefty voices say they wanted because, they claimed, it will be a good way to fight Trump's fascism. It's time everyone on the left starts working to win a shutdown. To be sure, there are still multiple routes via which a shutdown might not happen. It's definitely possible Schumer will disappoint us and cave."
"Betting markets are putting a 71% chance on a shutdown. Even if you distrust Schumer, messaging now about the import of a shutdown to rein in Trump's authoritarianism can only serve to buck up Democrats, making a shutdown more likely, making the likelihood a shutdown will make a difference more likely."
Two separate votes on continuing funding failed in the Senate, one for the House-passed clean funding and one for a Democratic alternative that restored healthcare cuts, barred illegal rescissions, and added security funds. John Fetterman sided with Republicans on the clean bill while Lisa Murkowski and Rand Paul sided with Democrats; eight Republicans did not vote. The Senate faces a likely government shutdown in nine days, with betting markets pricing a 71% chance. Multiple scenarios could avert a shutdown, including defections or concessions, but concerted left messaging and organizing could increase the probability and political impact of a shutdown.
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