There's Hope! An Iowa Democrat Just Flipped a Trumpist District.

"Remember this name: Catelin Dray. From the Des Moines Register: Democrat Catelin Drey has pulled off a victory in a special election for the Iowa Senate, flipping a Republican-held seat and breaking the GOP's supermajority in the chamber for the first time in three years. Drey won with 55 percent of the vote to Republican Christopher Prosch's 44 percent, according to unofficial results from the Woodbury County Auditor's Office."

"Breaking the Republican supermajority is undoubtedly a good thing in that it can work as a brake on Governor Kim Reynolds's desperate attempt to be relevant in the MAGAverse, no matter what that may do to her more immediate constituents. With Drey's win, Democrats now hold seventeen seats in the fifty-member Senate to Republicans' thirty-three seatsenough to break the two-thirds supermajority the GOP has enjoyed since the 2022 election."

"But as significant, and probably more significantly, Drey not only flipped a Trumpist district, she flipped a Trumpist district in a huuuuuuge way. Trump carried Iowa 1 by 11 points in 2024. It looks like Drey will top out at 10 percent. Earlier this year, the Democrats flipped another state senate seat in a district that the president carried by 20 points."

Catelin Drey, a Democrat, won a special election for the Iowa Senate with 55 percent of the vote to Republican Christopher Prosch's 44 percent, flipping a Republican-held seat. Drey's victory reduces Republican seats to thirty-three and gives Democrats seventeen in the fifty-member Senate, breaking the GOP's two-thirds supermajority first attained in 2022. Republicans will now need at least one Democratic senator's support to confirm Governor Kim Reynolds's nominees to state agencies, boards, and commissions during her final term year. Drey flipped a strongly Trump-leaning district by about ten points, following another recent Democratic flip in a heavily pro-Trump district. Iowa Republican leaders responded with limited criticism of national Democratic investment.

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