"Assessing what the front-runner in November's election might do-and not do."
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The front-runner in the November election is likely to favor attainable, low-risk policy initiatives while avoiding polarizing, legally fraught, or institutionally constrained measures. Political incentives will push toward popular, symbolic, or executive actions that can be implemented without complex legislation. Legislative deadlock, budgetary limits, judicial review, and public opinion will shape the scope of possible reforms. Strategic governance will emphasize pragmatic outcomes and electoral considerations over sweeping transformation. City Journal is published by the Manhattan Institute for Policy Research. Donations to the Manhattan Institute and City Journal are tax-deductible under EIN #13-2912529.
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