"Yet a new research paper from the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco found that the huge influx of foreigners under President Biden's open border policy had the beneficial role of increasing the labor force, especially in fields where the U.S. sorely needed workers, notably in manufacturing and construction. The study further concludes that current crackdown has reduced employment in those and other industries where employers face shortages."
"Wilson and Zhao collected data on the arrivals and departures of unauthorized, working age immigrants to derive the "net immigration" numbers for all 3100 U.S. counties. Their analysis focuses on two main periods: the Biden era of extremely high entries from March 2021 to March 2024, and the span of the Trump crackdown period lasting from March of 2024 to March of last year. They gathered the numbers from the immigration court records that they contend cover the vast majority of all unauthorized immigration."
Large arrivals of unauthorized, working-age immigrants between March 2021 and March 2024 expanded the U.S. labor force, particularly in manufacturing and construction where workers were scarce. A subsequent crackdown beginning in March 2024 reduced employment in those and other shortage-hit industries. Net-immigration figures were derived from immigration court records covering arrivals and departures across all 3,100 U.S. counties and compared across the two periods. Reduced worker supply has contributed to slower residential construction, upward pressure on home prices as builders pay higher wages, and potential delays for data center projects tied to AI growth.
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