"The 2024 presidential election was a disaster for the Democrats. Donald Trump managed to shake loose the party's base. Latino voters, Black voters and young Americans swung away from Kamala Harris, resulting in Trump's first popular vote plurality in three tries. Less than a year later, the shifts may yet prove transitory. Looming cuts to healthcare, rising unemployment and sticky inflation may be yielding buyers' remorse. Whether the Democrats are up to the moment is an open question. Regardless, the new American Golden Age, promised by the president and his minions, is looking more like stagflation for the many and a booming stock market for the few."
"Meanwhile, Trump's approval remains underwater, hovering between -7% and -8% on average, according to the Silver Bulletin. Disapproval among Latino voters is starker. Immigration and masked Ice agents have soured voters on the administration's real gains in securing the border: according to one new poll, the incumbent stands 20 points underwater with Latinos. The latest YouGov poll, meanwhile, pegs Hispanic disapproval of Trump at 65%. Among Black Americans, the figure is 84%. White Americans disapprove of him, 50-47. A Reuters/Ipsos poll from August reports that only one-third of Hispanics approve of Trump."
The 2024 presidential election delivered a popular-vote plurality to Donald Trump after he peeled away Latino, Black, and young voters. Economic pressures—looming healthcare cuts, sticky inflation, and rising unemployment—risk producing buyers' remorse that could reverse some shifts. The economy shows stark youth joblessness: overall 10.8%, young men 11%, Black youth 14.3%, Hispanic youth 12.6%. With midterms approaching, the president and his party face concern despite a narrow Democratic lead on the generic ballot. Trump's approval remains underwater overall, with markedly higher disapproval among Hispanic and Black voters.
Read at www.theguardian.com
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